This memorandum considers the establishment of a net assessment function within the ministry of defence. Having spent twentytwo years at rand, andrew marshall was made director of the o. Andrew marshall, pentagon strategist, 19212019 financial times. The rumblings within the professional wargaming community were one of the causes of the 1977 leesburg conference. As initially defined by the father of net assessment in the u. Andrew marshall and the shaping of modern american defense strategy kindle edition by krepinevich, andrew f. In january 2015, age 94, andrew marshall retired as director of ona, and we are fortunate that. Hq003409d30070009 the views, opinions andor findings contained in this report are those of the author and should not be construed as an official dod position, policy, or decision. Andrew marshall and the lasting value of net assessment. Net assessment is closely identified with andrew marshall, the founder and still today although he has recently announced he plans to retire director of the office of net assessment in the department of defense. He also understood that the final cause of the world at large is indefinite, ambiguous, incalculable. Marshall, net assessment is meant to be the second nuclear age the.
Until he retired in 2015, marshall headed the office of net assessment, an inhouse. Andrew marshall mentored a series of secretaries of defense, beginning with james schlesinger, in devising strategies for competing successfully with global adversaries. Andrew marshall and the shaping of american defense strategy, is an intel. Andrew marshall leaves behind an american tradition of strategic thinking that will live well beyond him. Marshall is a longterm dod veteran who has worked for every secretary of defense since james schlesinger in the 1970s, hetladge said. Demographic trends, policy influences, and economic effects. Memorandum from the director of the net assessment group, national security council marshall to the presidents assistant for national security affairs kissinger 1. Improved methods for net assessment are desirable a constant monitoring of haw we are doing relative to the soviets would provide an inportant input to decision processes involved in implementing u. The militarytechnical revolution a preliminary assessment by andrew f. In october 2014, marshall announced plans to retire in january 2015. Marshall and net assessment any meaningful discussion of net assessment must include an examination of strategic thinker and futurist andrew w. In that role, marshall advised secretaries of defense from 1973 to 2015. Naval postgraduate school moterey califonia 00 14 a dtic telecte thesis h net assessment.
It accompanies a more detailed study published by policy exchange, a question of power. He is the coauthor, along with barry watts, of the book the last warrior. Marshall used the term net assessment in a different manner than many military professionals dothat is, as an analysis of the likely. For more than four decades he has served as director of the office of net assessment, the pentagons internal think tank, under twelve defense secretaries and eight administrations. Appointed to the position by president richard nixon, marshall. Andrew marshall, brain of the pentagon, passed away the. Evaluating military balances through the lens of net. Before then he was an aide to henry kissinger, then the national security adviser to president richard nixon. Oneill, along with the defense advanced research projects agency darpa directed by anthony j. This research was conducted within the rand center for asia pacific policy, part of international programs at the rand corporation. The influential american strategist andrew marshallaffectionately known as yoda within the u. Marshall has been paid by the senior executive services ses within the dod office of net assessment since the inception of the ses on oct. In particular, it focuses on some of the intellectual foundations for net assessment, key characteristics, and how the style, vision, and ideas of andrew marshall have been and continue to be in. Nor is it operations research, or strategic planning.
Is the pentagons andrew marshall the leo strauss of military. Thus, to understand marshall s unique perspective on the process of net assessment, one is best served by studying the evolution of his thought prior to the establishment of ona. The last warrior tells that story, and shows how marshall used the revolutionary concept of net assessment to do it. Net assessment, alternatively, is sometimes defined in terms of the.
Schuttes treatment of marshall aims to rectify that situation as it relates to the first half of marshalls life. The future of net assessment at the pentagon the diplomat. The department of defenses office of net assessment ona, the pentagons internal think tank, was created and andrew marshall was named its first director in 1973, and marshall has been reappointed by every administration and secretary of defense since then. Marshall, 92, has led the office of net assessment ona since its creation in 1973. Dunnigan recalls the meeting as kicking off a new breed of war games in the u. The key, associates say, is to read the writings of his disciples. Marshall, director, dod office of net assessment, senior executive service ses, highlands group. Director of the office of net assessment in the department of defense. The biography was written by andrew krepinevich and barry watts. Marshall led the pentagons office of net assessment for 42 years. Andrew marshall is among the united states elite defense intellectuals. Prepared for the office of net assessment office of the secretary of defense contract no. Despite marshalls long shadow over americas defense establishment, there is no serious extant inquiry into his life. Marshall, director of net assessment for the department of defense.
The office of net assessment, which is headed by a seldomseen, 92yearold nixonera defense analyst named andrew marshall, is just a tiny compartment in the labyrinthine defense department, but. Until he retired in 2015, marshall headed the office of net assessment. Andrew marshall foreign policy strategist simple english. These 12 defense experts hope to guide the pentagon forward. Pentagon think tank chief long focused on psych studies.
He is a disciple of office of net assessment legend andrew marshall, who he immortalized in his book the last warrior. Marshall, as director of the office of net assessment, was the secretive futurist of the pentagon, a longrange thinker who both prodded and inspired secretaries of defense and highlevel. It stands as a model of broadly based, rigorous, and imaginative analysis to all. A diagnostic assessment center for strategic and budgetary assessments prepared for osd net assessment april 2011 contract no. Andrew marshall foreign policy strategist wikipedia. Andrew marshall, the pentagons 81yearold futuristinchief, fiddles with his security badge, squints, looks away, smiles, and finally speaks in \\ the marshall plan wired the marshall plan. Andrew marshall and the early development of the intellectual foundations for net assessment. Appointed to the position by president richard nixon, marshall remained in office during all successive administrations that followed until his retirement on january 2, 2015. Yet marshall has been on the cutting edge of strategic thinking even longer than that. Andrew marshall and the development of the net assessment framework. Many more knew, or knew of, marshall as the longtime and somewhat enigmatic head of the pentagons office of net assessment. It is comprehensive, including description of the forces, operational doctrines and. Whistleblowers confirm marshall s central role in the weaponization of technology in killing machines since 1973.
Marshall september, 1921 march 26, 2019 was an american foreign policy strategist who served as director of the united states department of defenses office of net assessment from 1973 to 2015. Office of net assessment with the objective of understanding how china and india will compare to one another in 20202025 with regards to demographics, economic growth, science and technology and military spending. Hq003409d30070019 center for strategic and budgetary assessments. Dec 31, 2007 some will say that this net assessment is an americacentric, chauvinistic evaluation of the united states, making it appear more powerful, more important and more clever than it is.
Marshall and the epistemic community of the cold war received the usaf historical foundations award for best school of advanced air and space studies history thesis of 2012. Net assessment is the analysis of how many souls a particular weapon selected by the highlands group will kill. Andrew marshall was founding director of the office of net assessment in the office of the secretary of defense after more than two decades as an economist at the rand corporation. Mar 12, 2014 marshall, 92, has led the office of net assessment ona since its creation in 1973. I owe a very great intellectual debt to andrew marshall in regard. Andrew marshall and classics rockefeller university. An examination of the process by anthony daniel konecny december 1988 thesis advisor. The story of this journey, of marshall s growth and maturation as a strategist, is the focus of this biography. Jan 02, 2015 andrew marshall was named its first director, a position he continued to hold under succeeding administrations. Review of the last warrior, on futurist andrew marshall. Evaluating military balances through the lens of net assessment. Andrew krepinevich served in the office of net assessment from 19891993.
Marshall, whose contributions to military thought helped to shape net assessment as a discrete analytical approach within the united states department of defense. Whistleblowers confirm marshalls central role in the weaponization of technology in killing machines since 1973. Apr 05, 2019 as the indefatigable head of the office of net assessment the pentagons inhouse thinktank marshall could not help himself. Jan 14, 2015 andrew marshall, one of the longestserving u. He served as director of the united states department of defenses office of net assessment from 1973 to 2015. Andrew walter marshall, a former strategist at the rand corporation who served as head of the pentagons office of net assessment from its. In particular, it focuses on some of the intellectual foundations for net assessment, key characteristics, and how the style, vision, and ideas of andrew marshall have been and continue to be influential for performing net assessment. Establishing a net assessment function within the mod 1. Jim baker, a retired air force colonel, has been tapped to run the pentagons legendary office of net assessment, taking over from andrew w. Effects of forest fires on peat swamp and lowland dipterocarp forests in kalimantan, indonesia. Mar 26, 2019 the director of the united states department of defenses office of net assessment. The title of this studyknives, tanks, and missiles. Marshall and the epistemic community of the cold war.
Andrew marshall and the shaping of modern american defense strategy, the last formal pentagon net assessment appears to have been done in the. Andrew marshall and the shaping of modern american defense. Such assessments should include an analysis of the comparative efficiencies with which. But it isnt helpful for someone who is trying to learn how to apply it to his or her problems. Marshall september, 1921 march 26, 2019 was an american foreign policy strategist. Like hegel, andy marshall believed that scholarship ought to comprehend the character of a nation. The revolution in military affairs geopolitical futures.
By 1987, andrew marshall, the pentagons director of net assessment, had concluded that the soviets were correct in their judgment that these new technologies would not merely make current forces marginally better in fighting with existing operational concepts and organizations, but would revolutionize wars. Andrew marshall was named its first director, a position he continued to hold under succeeding administrations. Marshall, director of the pentagons office of net assessment, rarely publishes his thinking in unclassified forms. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading the last warrior.
Whistleblowers confirm marshall s central role in the weaponization of. Are their assessments responsible for derailing cherished service programs such as the crusader. Foreign relations of the united states, 19691976, volume ii, organization and management of u. Marshall, the 92yearold futurist who directs the pentagons obliquely named internal think tank, the office of net assessment. Rather, it is the recognition that the world itself is now, and has been since 1992, americacentric. Center for strategic and budgetary assessments 2002.
Andrew walter marshall, a former strategist at the rand corporation who served as head of the pentagons office of net assessment from its founding in 1973 until his retirement in 2015, died on march 26 at the age of 97. According to peres, israel had traditionally prepared to deal with the. But in our view, this is not an americacentric analysis. Andrew marshall director osd office of net assessment 1920 defense pentagon room 3a932 washington, d. The impact of the office of net assessment on the american. It was on this notion that the soviets introduced the term reconnaissancestrike complex. Describing what net assessment isnt, is a useful thing to do. May 08, 2019 andrew marshall leaves behind an american tradition of strategic thinking that will live well beyond him. Theaters of war the military entertainment complex tim lenoir. Net assessment is a tool developed for the strategic management of a longterm military. Abram shulsky was minority staff director for the senate select committee on intelligence before joining the defense department. Israels security revolutionderives from an oftrepeated metaphor used by former foreign minister shimon peres to describe the threat israel faces following the end of the cold war. Marshall director of net assessment, office of the secretary of defense u.
Abstract the paper reexamines our understanding of the role played by andrew marshall in the development of american thinking about the application of information technologies to military systems and concepts of operation that is commonly referred to as the current revolution in military affairs rma. Maritime warfare in a maturing precision strike regime. Aug 24, 2016 according to the recent book, the last warrior. In 1997, andrew marshall, the longtime head of the office of net assessment, said the soviets were right in thinking that these capabilities would revolutionize the way war was waged.
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